DFB, Inc., expects earnings this year of $ 5.29 per share, and it plans to pay a $ 3.05 dividend to shareholders. DFB will retain $ 2.24 per share of its earnings to reinvest in new projects with an expected return of 15.8 % per year. Suppose DFB will maintain the same dividend payout rate, retention rate, and return on new investments in the future and will not change its number of outstanding shares.
a. What growth rate of earnings would you forecast for DFB?
b. If DFB's equity cost of capital is 11.2 %, what price would you estimate for DFB stock?
c. Suppose DFB instead paid a dividend of $ 4.05 per share this year and retained only $ 1.24 per share in earnings. That is, it chose to pay a higher dividend instead of reinvesting in as many new projects. If DFB maintains this higher payout rate in thefuture, what stock price would you estimate now? Should DFB follow this new policy?
a). Growth Rate = Retention Rate * ROE
= [$2.24 / $5.29] * 15.8% = 6.69%
b). Price of DFB's Stock = D1 / [r - g]
= $3.05 / [0.112 - 0.0669] = $3.05 / 0.0451 = $67.63
c). Growth Rate = Retention Rate * ROE
= [$1.24 / $5.29] * 15.8% = 3.70%
Price of DFB's Stock = D1 / [r - g]
= $4.05 / [0.112 - 0.0370] = $4.05 / 0.0750 = $54.03
No, projects are positive NPV (return exceeds cost of capital), so don’t raise dividend.
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