Solution
Back-up Theory
Power of a test = 1 – β = probability of rejecting a null hypothesis when it is not true, i.e., Alternative is true. Or equivalently, power is the probability of accepting a true alternative…………………. (1)
Now to work out the solution,
Given sample size, n = 10 sample stabdard deviation, s = 4.8 …………………………………… (2)
Part (a)
Let X = Ash content (in milligrams) of a prepared food.
Then, X ~ N(µ, σ2)
Claim: Population variance is 18
Hypotheses:
Null H0: σ2 = σ20 = 18 Vs Alternative H1: σ2 ≠ 18
Test statistic:
χ2 = (n - 1)s2/σ20 where
n = sample size
s = sample standard deviation
Calculations Summary
n = |
10 |
σ20 = |
18 |
s = |
4.8 |
s^2 = |
23.04 |
χ2(cal) = |
11.52 |
Given |
|
α = |
0.05 |
Upper crit |
19.02277 |
Lower crit |
2.70039 |
α/2 = |
0.025 |
1 - α/2 = |
0.975 |
n - 1 = |
9 |
p-value(U) |
0.241741 |
p-value(L) |
0.758259 |
Distribution, Significance Level, α, Critical Value and p-value
Under H0, χ2 ~ χ2n - 1
Critical values = upper (α/2)% point and lower (α/2)% of χ2n - 1.
p-value = P(χ2n – 1 > χ2(cal)) or = P(χ2n – 1 < χ2(cal))
Using Excel Function: Statistical CHIINV and CHIDIST, the above are found to be as shown in the above table.
Decision:
Since χ2crit(upper/lower) < χ2cal < χ2crit(upper/lower), or equivalently since p-value > α. H0 is accepted.
Conclusion:
There is sufficient evidence to support the claim that the population variance is 18. Answer
Part (b)
Null hypothesis is rejected if {(n - 1)s2/σ20} > 19.0228 or {(n - 1)s2/σ20} < 2.700
Or, s2 > 36.0456 or s2 < 5.4 [just by substituting (n - 1) = 9 and σ20 = 18]
Now, under H1 , σ2, say σ21 = 36.
So, {(n - 1)s2/σ21} ~ χ29
Thus, s2 > 36.0456 or s2 < 5.4 is equivalent to saying: χ29 > 9.0114 or χ29 < 1.35
So vide (1),
Power = P(χ29 > 9.0114) + P(χ29 < 1.35)
= 0.4362 + 0.0019
= 0.4381 Answer
DONE
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