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Assume that you have two Possible outcomes: 50% chance of a positive cash flow of $2,000 50% chance of a positive cash flow o

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Answer #1
Solution
Expected cash flow = Probablity*Cash Received
Given
50% chance of Cash received is $2000
50% chance of Cash received is $1000
Probablity of Receiving cash is .50
Now,
Expected cash flow = Probablity*Cash Recived
Expected cash flow = (.5*2000)+(.50*1000)
=$1500
Acutally we get cash might be Any of following
A $2,000
B $1,000
For case A We often get cash
=$1500/$2000
=.75 times
Probablity is 50% as given in question
=.50
In term of Percentage
=1500/2000*100
=75%
For case B We often get cash
=$1500/$1000
=1.5 times
Probablity is 50% as given in question
=.50
In term of Percentage
=1500/1000*100
=150%
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