The return on shares of Valley Transporter is predicted under
the following various economic conditions:
Recession -0.13
Normal +0.09
Boom +0.22
If each economy state has the same probability of occurring, what
is the variance of the stock
Expected Return = (-0.13+0.09+0.22)/3 = 0.06
Variance = (1/3)*(-0.13-0.06)2 + (1/3)*(0.09-0.06)2 +(1/3)*(0.22-0.06)2 = 0.02087 or 2.09%
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