A shipment of 60 parts contains 9 defective parts. Suppose 3 parts are selected at random, without replacement, from the shipment. What is the probability that at most one part is not defective?
Options:
0.9439 |
|
0.0887 |
|
0.0561 |
|
0.0296 |
A shipment of 60 parts contains 9 defective parts and
60 - 9 = 51 non-defective parts.
Suppose 3 parts are selected at random, we want to find, the probability that at most one part is not defective.
Let X be a non-defective parts among 3 parts.
We can select 3 parts from 60 by following number of ways: 60C3 = 34220
We want to find, P(X <= 1)
P(X <= 1) = P(X = 0) + P(X = 1)
here, (X = 0) means, we select all 3 defective parts by following number of ways,
51C0 * 9C3 = 1 * 84 = 84
and (X = 1) means, we select 1 non-defective part and 2 defective parts by,
51C1 * 9C2 = 51 * 36 = 1836
Therefore,
P(X = 0) = 84/34220
P(X = 1) = 1836/34220
=> P(X <= 1) = (84/34220) + (1836/34220) = 1920/34220
=> P(X <= 1) = 0.0561
Hence, required probability is 0.0561
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