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Question 3 True/False/Explain 1. The variance of the OLS estimator of the coefficient of a certain variable X; in a regressio

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Answer #1

Question 3.

1. False, as just by looking at the variance of the OLS estimate of independent variable, it cannot be inferred if there is collinearity between independent variables.

In case of a multiple linear regression model, a measure of collinearity among independent variables is the Variance Inflation Factor that identifies the change in the variance of a particular independent variable Xj when some other independent variable changes. It is not the variance value, but the value of the Variance Inflation Factor that decides the degree of collinearity.

2. For a 90% confidence interval in case of a normal distribution, the z value is 1.645.

In order to calculate the confidence interval, the mean and the standard errors are used as follows :

The confidence interval = [mean - Z * Standard Error, mean + Z * Standard Error] =

[0.0041-1.645* 0.0017, 0.0041+1.645* 0.0017] = [0.0013,0.006897]

Thus, with 90% confidence, the average experience lies between this confidence interval.

Question 4

As income, X = Consumption, Y + Savings, Z,

Here, in the Consumption function, \alpha1 is autonomous consumption and in the Savings function, \beta1 is the negative of  \alpha1 i.e. the autonomous saving (\beta1 = - \alpha1)

On the other hand, \alpha2 is the marginal propensity to consume (The increase in consumption as income increases by one unit) and \beta2 is the marginal propensity to save (The increase in savings as income increases by one unit) which is (1- \alpha2). Thus there is a negative relation between \beta2 and \alpha2.

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