Problem

Baseball batting averages versus wins. Is the number of games won by a major league baseba...

Baseball batting averages versus wins. Is the number of games won by a major league baseball team in a season related to the team’s batting average? Consider data from the Baseball Almanac on the number of games won and the batting averages for the 14 teams in the American League for the 2010 Major League Baseball season. The data are listed in the next table and saved in the ALWINS file.

a. If you were to model the relationship between the mean (or expected) number of games won by a major league team and the team’s batting average x , using a straight line, would you expect the slope of the line to be positive or negative? Explain.


b. Construct a scatterplot of the data. Does the pattern revealed by the scatterplot agree with your answer to part a ?


c. An SAS printout of the simple linear regression is shown below. Find the estimates of the β’s on the printout and write the equation of the least squares line.


d. Graph the least squares line on your scatterplot. Does your least squares line seem to fit the points on your scatterplot?

Team

Games Won

Batting Avg. (average number of hits per 1,000 at bats)

New York

95

.267

Toronto

85

.248

Baltimore

66

.259

Boston

89

.268

Tampa Ba

96

.247

Cleveland

69

.248

Detroit

81

.268

Chicago

88

.268

Kansas City

67

.274

Minnesota

94

.273

Los Angeles

80

.248

Texas

90

.276

Seattle

61

.236

Oakland

81

.256

Based on data from Baseball Almanac , 2010; www.mlb.com.


e. Interpret the estimates of β0 and β1 in the words of the problem.


f. Conduct a test (at α =.05) to determine whether the mean (or expected) number of games won by a major league baseball team is positively linearly related to the team’s batting average.


g. Find the coefficient of determination, r2, and interpret its value.


h. Do you recommend using the model to predict the number of games won by a team during the 2010 season?

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