The example in Section 4.1 considered the reliability of a screening test. Suppose we wanted to simulate the probability of observing at least 15 positive results and 5 negative results in a set of 20 results, when the probability of a positive result was claimed to be .75. Use a random number generator to simulate the running of 20 screening tests.
a. Let a two-digit number represent an individual running of the screening test. Which numbers represent a positive outcome of the screening test? Which numbers represent a negative outcome?
b. If we generate 2,000 sets of 20 two-digit numbers, how can the outcomes of this simulation be used to approximate the probability of obtaining at least 15 positive results in the 20 running s of the screening test?
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