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Saved Problem 5-6 The stock of Business Adventures sells for $40 a share. Its likely dividend payout and end-of-year price de

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Answer #1

A.

Divident $
(A)
Opening Price ($)
(B)
Closing Price
(C)
Return
D = (A + (C-B)
Probability
(E)
Average Return
F = D*E
D^2 D^2*E
Boom 2.8 40 48 10.8 0.33                         3.56 116.64 38.4912
Normal Economy 1.8 40 43 4.8 0.33                         1.58 23.04 7.6032
Recession 0.9 40 34 -5.1 0.34                       (1.73) 26.01 8.8434
                        3.41      54.94

So Expected Return = 3.41 %

And Standard Deviation = SqRoot Of Variance

i.e Sq Root of 54.94 i.e 7.41 %

B.

Expected Return = .50*3.41+.50*5 = 4.21%

Standard Deviation of government bond is 0

So Standard Deviation of portfolio is (7.41*.50 + 0 * .50) = 3.71%

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