Step-1, Dividend for the next 2 years
Dividend in Year 2020 (D0) = $5.00 per share
Dividend in Year 2021 (D1) = $5.50 per share [$5.00 x 110%]
Dividend in Year 2022 (D2) = $6.05 per share [$5.50 x 110%]
Step-2, The Price of the stock in year 2022
Dividend Growth Rate after 3 years (g) = 5.00% per year
Required Rate of Return (Ke) = 11.00%
Therefore, the Share Price in year 2022 = D3(1 + g) / (Ke – g)
= $6.05(1 + 0.05) / (0.11 – 0.05)
= $6.3525 / 0.06
= $105.88 per share
Step-3, Current price of the share
As per Dividend Discount Model, the selling price of the stock is the aggregate of the Present Value of the future dividend payments and the present value the share price in year 2022
Year |
Cash flow ($) |
Present Value factor at 11.00% |
Present Value of cash flows ($) |
2021 |
5.50 |
0.90090 |
4.95 |
2022 |
6.05 |
0.81162 |
4.91 |
2022 |
105.88 |
0.81162 |
85.93 |
TOTAL |
95.80 |
||
“Hence, the Current share price will be $95.80”
NOTE
The Formula for calculating the Present Value Factor is [1/(1 + r)n], Where “r” is the Discount/Interest Rate and “n” is the number of years.
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