It's been 2 months since you took a position as an assistant financial analyst at Caledonia Products. Although your boss has been pleased with your work, he is still a bit hesitant about unleashing you without supervision. Your next assignment involves both the calculation of the cash flows associated with a new investment under consideration and the evaluation of several mutually exclusive projects. Given your lack of tenure at Caledonia, you have been asked not only to provide a recommendation but also to respond to a number of questions aimed at judging your understanding of the capital-budgeting process. The memorandum you received outlining your assignment follows:
To: The Assistant Financial Analyst
From: Mr. V. Morrison, CEO, Caledonia Products
Re: Cash Flow Analysis and Capital Rationing
We are considering the introduction of a new product. Currently we are in the 24 percent marginal tax bracket with a required rate of return or cost of capital of 17 percent. This project is expected to last 5 years and then, because this is somewhat of a fad product, be terminated. The new project information is here:
Cost of new plant and equipment: $7,900,000
Shipping and installation costs: $100,000
Unit Sales:
YEAR |
UNITS SOLD |
1 |
55,000 |
2 |
120,000 |
3 |
140,000 |
4 |
65,000 |
5 |
45,000 |
Sales price per unit: $320/unit in years 1 through 4, $280/unit in year 5
Variable cost per unit: $200/unit
Annual fixed costs: $200,000 per year in years 1 - 5
Working-capital requirements: There will be an initial working-capital requirement of $90,000 just to get production started. For each year, the total investment in net working capital will be equal to 20 percent of the dollar value of sales for that year. Thus, the investment in working capital will increase during years 1 and 2, then decrease in year 4. Finally, all working capital is liquidated at the termination of the project at the end of year 5.
Depreciation method: Bonus depreciation method, and as a result the bonus depreciation occurs in year 1, with no depreciation in any other years. If any losses occur, they would be offset by profits in other areas of the company.
e. What is the annual free cash flow associated with this project in year 1?
What is the annual free cash flow associated with this project in year 2?
What is the annual free cash flow associated with this project in year 3?
What is the annual free cash flow associated with this project in year 4?
f. What is the terminal cash flow in year 5 (that is, what is the free cash flow in year 5 plus any additional cash flows associated with the termination of the project)?
g. Enter the amount of cash flow into the following diagram for this project. Enter a negative number for a net cash outflow and a positive number for a net cash inflow.
h. What is its net present value?
i. What is its internal rate of return?
j. Should the project be accepted?
Since the project's NPV is ____(positive, negative), the project should be ___(accepted, rejected)
Since the project's IRR is ___(greater, less) than the required rate of return, 17%, the project should be ____(accepted, rejected).
Solution
Year | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
units Sold | 55,000 | 120,000 | 140,000 | 65,000 | 45,000 | |
Sales | $ 17,600,000.00 | $ 38,400,000.00 | $ 44,800,000.00 | $ 20,800,000.00 | $ 12,600,000.00 | |
Variable Cost | $ (11,000,000.00) | $ (24,000,000.00) | $ (28,000,000.00) | $ (13,000,000.00) | $ (9,000,000.00) | |
Fixed Cost | $ (200,000.00) | $ (200,000.00) | $ (200,000.00) | $ (200,000.00) | $ (200,000.00) | |
Depreciation | $ (8,000,000.00) | $ - | $ - | $ - | $ - | |
Profit Before tax | $ (1,600,000.00) | $ 14,200,000.00 | $ 16,600,000.00 | $ 7,600,000.00 | $ 3,400,000.00 | |
Carryforward of loss | $ (1,600,000.00) | $ - | $ - | $ - | ||
Profit Before tax | $ (1,600,000.00) | $ 12,600,000.00 | $ 16,600,000.00 | $ 7,600,000.00 | $ 3,400,000.00 | |
Less: Taxes | $ - | $ (3,024,000.00) | $ (3,984,000.00) | $ (1,824,000.00) | $ (816,000.00) | |
Profit After Tax (PAT) | $ (1,600,000.00) | $ 9,576,000.00 | $ 12,616,000.00 | $ 5,776,000.00 | $ 2,584,000.00 | |
Add: Depreciation | $ 8,000,000.00 | $ - | $ - | $ - | $ - | |
NATCF | $ 6,400,000.00 | $ 9,576,000.00 | $ 12,616,000.00 | $ 5,776,000.00 | $ 2,584,000.00 | |
Equipment Cost | $ (7,900,000.00) | |||||
Shipping and installation cost | $ (100,000.00) | |||||
Total Equipment Cost | $ (8,000,000.00) | |||||
Working Capital | $ (90,000.00) | $ (3,430,000.00) | $ (4,160,000.00) | $ (1,280,000.00) | $ 4,800,000.00 | $ 4,160,000.00 |
Total Cash Flows | (8,090,000.00) | $ 2,970,000.00 | $ 5,416,000.00 | $ 11,336,000.00 | $ 10,576,000.00 | $ 6,744,000.00 |
Cost of Capital | 17% | |||||
NPV` | =NPV(rate, value1,value2,value3..) | |||||
NPV | $12,139,046.22 | |||||
IRR | =IRR(values,[guess]) | |||||
IRR | 67% |
Note 1: Calculation of Bonus Depreciation
= Cost of Equipment * Current Bonus Depreciation rate
= ($ 7,900,000 + $ 100,000) *100%
= $ 8,000,000
Note 2: Calculation of Additional Working Capital requirement each year:
Year | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
Sales | $ 17,600,000.00 | $ 38,400,000.00 | $ 44,800,000.00 | $ 20,800,000.00 | $ 12,600,000.00 | |
Working Capital to be 20% of sales | $ 90,000.00 | $ 3,520,000.00 | $ 7,680,000.00 | $ 8,960,000.00 | $ 4,160,000.00 | $ - |
Additional Working Capital requirement | $ 90,000.00 | $ 3,430,000.00 | $ 4,160,000.00 | $ 1,280,000.00 | $ (4,800,000.00) | $ (4,160,000.00) |
Hence,
Solution e)
the annual free cash flow associated with the project in year 1 is
$ 6,400,000.00
the annual free cash flow associated with the project in year 2 is $ 9,576,000.00
the annual free cash flow associated with the project in year 3 is $ 12,616,000.00
the annual free cash flow associated with the project in year 4 is $ 5,776,000.00
Solution f)
the terminal cash flow in year 5 is $ 2,584,000 + $ 4,160,000.00 = $ 6,744,000.00
Solution g)
Year | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
Net Cash Flows | -8,090,000 | 2,970,000 | 5,416,000 | 11,336,000 | 10,576,000 | 6,744,000 |
Solution h)
the net present value of the project is $12,139,046.22
Solution i)
internal rate of return is 67%
Solution j)
Since the project's NPV is positive the project should be accepted
Since the project's IRR is greater than the required rate ofreturn, 17%, the project should be accepted
It's been 2 months since you took a position as an assistant financial analyst at Caledonia...
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