It's been 2 months since you took a position as an assistant financial analyst at Caledonia Products. Although your boss has been pleased with your work, he is still a bit hesitant about unleashing you without supervision. Your next assignment involves both the calculation of the cash flows associated with a new investment under consideration and the evaluation of several mutually exclusive projects. Given your lack of tenure at Caledonia, you have been asked not only to provide a recommendation but also to respond to a number of questions aimed at judging your understanding of the capital-budgeting process. The memorandum you received outlining your assignment follows:
To: The Assistant Financial Analyst
From: Mr. V. Morrison, CEO, Caledonia Products
Re: Cash Flow Analysis and Capital Rationing
We are considering the introduction of a new product. Currently we are in the 24 percent marginal tax bracket with a required rate of return or cost of capital of 17 percent. This project is expected to last 5 years and then, because this is somewhat of a fad product, be terminated. The new project information is here:
Cost of new plant and equipment: $7,900,000
Shipping and installation costs: $100,000
Unit Sales:
YEAR |
UNITS SOLD |
1 |
55,000 |
2 |
120,000 |
3 |
140,000 |
4 |
65,000 |
5 |
45,000 |
Sales price per unit: $320/unit in years 1 through 4, $280/unit in year 5
Variable cost per unit: $200/unit
Annual fixed costs: $200,000 per year in years 1 - 5
Working-capital requirements: There will be an initial working-capital requirement of $90,000 just to get production started. For each year, the total investment in net working capital will be equal to 20 percent of the dollar value of sales for that year. Thus, the investment in working capital will increase during years 1 and 2, then decrease in year 4. Finally, all working capital is liquidated at the termination of the project at the end of year 5.
Depreciation method: Bonus depreciation method, and as a result the bonus depreciation occurs in year 1, with no depreciation in any other years. If any losses occur, they would be offset by profits in other areas of the company.
e. What is the annual free cash flow associated with this project in year 1?
What is the annual free cash flow associated with this project in year 2?
What is the annual free cash flow associated with this project in year 3?
What is the annual free cash flow associated with this project in year 4?
f. What is the terminal cash flow in year 5 (that is, what is the free cash flow in year 5 plus any additional cash flows associated with the termination of the project)?
g. Enter the amount of cash flow into the following diagram for this project. Enter a negative number for a net cash outflow and a positive number for a net cash inflow.
h. What is its net present value?
i. What is its internal rate of return?
Initial outlay for the company = cost of equipment + installation charges + working capital charges = $7,900,000 + $100,000 +$90,000 = $8,090,000
Earnings before tax = (unit sales * sales price) - (variable cost *unit sales) - fixed cost - depreciation
Tax= earnings before tax * tax rate
Earnings after tax = earnings before tax - tax
net cash flow for the year = earnings after tax + non-cash item (depreciation) - working capital expenditures
present value of the cash flow for the year = (net cash flow for the year) / (1 + discount rate or WACC)n, where n is the year in which the cash flow happens.
Bonus depreciation in year 1 = cost of equipment + installation cost = $7,900,000 + $100,000 = $8,000,000
Hence, earnings before tax for year 1 is (55,000 * $320) - (55,000 * $200) - $200,000 - $8,000,000
= $17,600,000 - $11,000,000 - $200,000 - $8,000,000
= -$1,600,000
Since any losses are absorbed by profits in other divisions, there is no incremental tax benefit of the tax
Hence, incremental earnings after tax for year 1 = -$1,600,000
net cash flow for year 1 = -$1,600,000 + depreciation - working capital investment = -$1,600,000 + $8,000,000 - {20% (55,000*$320) = -$1,600,000 + $8,000,000 - $3,520,000 = $2,880,000. This is the annual free cash flow associated with this project in year 1
earnings before tax for year 2 = (120,000 * $320) - (120,000 * $200) - $200,000
= $38,400,000 - $24,000,000 - $200,000 (no depreciation) = $14,200,000
Tax = 0.24 * $14,200,000 = $3,408,000
Incremental earnings after tax for year 2 = $14,200,000 - $3,408,000 = $10,792,000
Incremental cash flow in year 2 = Incremental earnings after tax for year 2 - working capital investment ( which is 20% of sales)
= $10,792,000 - (0.20 *120,000 * $320) = $10,792,000 - $7,680,000 = $3,112,000. This is the annual free cash flow associated with this project in year 2
earnings before tax for year 3 = (140,000 * $320) - (140,000 * $200) - $200,000
= $44,800,000 - $28,000,000 - $200,000 (no depreciation) = $16,600,000
Tax = 0.24 * $16,600,000 = $3,984,000
Incremental earnings after tax for year 2 = $16,600,000 - $3,984,000= $12,616,000
Incremental cash flow in year 3 = Incremental earnings after tax for year 3 - working capital investment ( which is 20% of sales)
= $12,616,000 - (0.20 *140,000 * $320) = $12,616,000 - $8,960,000 = $3,656,000. This is the annual free cash flow associated with the project in year 3
earnings before tax for year 4 = (65,000 * $320) - (65,000 * $200) - $200,000
= $20,800,000 - $13,000,000 - $200,000 (no depreciation) = $7,600,000
Tax = 0.24 * $7,600,000 = $1,824,000
Incremental earnings after tax for year 2 = $7,600,000 - $1,824,000= $5,776,000
Incremental cash flow in year 4 = Incremental earnings after tax for year 4 - working capital investment ( which is 20% of sales)
= $5,776,000 - (0.20 *65,000 * $320) = $5,776,000 - $4,160,000 = $1,616,000. This is the annual free cash flow associated with the project in year 4
earnings before tax for year 5 = (45,000 * $280) - (45,000 * $200) - $200,000
= $12,600,000 - $9,000,000 - $200,000 (no depreciation) = $3,400,000
Tax = 0.24 * $3,400,000 = $816,000
Incremental earnings after tax for year 5 = $3,400,000 - $816,000 = $2,584,000
Incremental cash flow in year 5 = Incremental earnings after tax for year 5 - working capital investment ( which is 20% of sales)
= $2,584,000 - (0.20 *45,000 * $280) = $2,584,000 - $2,520,000 = $64,000. This is the annual free cash flow associated with the project in year 5
The terminal cash flow in year 5 = annual cash flow for year 5 that we just calculated + recapture of working capital throughout the five years
= $64,000 + $3,520,000 + $7,680,000 + $8,960,000 + $4,160,000 + $2,520,000 = $26,904,000
The diagram is attached below
Net present value the sum of : (net cash flow for the year) / (1 + discount rate or WACC)n over the five year period minus the initial outlay.
Hence, NPV = ($2,880,000/1.17) + ($3,112,000/(1.172)) + ($3,656,000/(1.173)) + ($1,616,000/(1.174)) + ($26,904,000/(1.175) - $8,090,000
= $2,461,538.46 + $2,273,358.17 + $2,282,698.75 + $862,378.48 + $12,271,214.44 - $8,090,000
NPV = $12,061,188.3
The internal rate of return can be calculated using the financial calculator
after inputting all the cash flow details in the calculator, IRR = 50.896%
It's been 2 months since you took a position as an assistant financial analyst at Caledonia...
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