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Suppose IBMs stock price is currently $100. In the next year it will either fall to $70 or rise to $130. What is the price t

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Answer #1
Upmove (U)= High price/current price=130/100=1.3
Down move (D)= Low price/current price=70/100=0.7
Risk neutral probability for up move
q = (e^(risk free rate*time)-D)/(U-D)
=(e^(0.02*1)-0.7)/(1.3-0.7)=0.53367
Call option payoff at high price (payoff H)
=Max(High price-strike price,0)
=Max(130-100,0)
=Max(30,0)
=30
Call option payoff at low price (Payoff L)
=Max(Low price-strike price,0)
=Max(70-100,0)
=Max(-30,0)
=0
Price of call option = e^(-r*t)*(q*Payoff H+(1-q)*Payoff L)
=e^(-0.02*1)*(0.533669*30+(1-0.533669)*0)
=15.69
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