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You recently purchased a stock that is expected to earn 11 percent in a booming economy, 10 percent in a normal economy and l follow with calculation. thanks
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Answer #1

ANSWER = 8.97%

ECONOMY PROBABILITY
(A)
RETURN
(B)
EXPECTED RETURN
(A) * (B)
Boom 0.17 11% 1.87%
Normal 0.75 10% 7.5%
Recession 0.08 - 5% - 0.4%
8.97%

Total probability = 1

Probability of recession = Total probability - Probability of boom - Probability of normal

Probability of recession = 1 - 0.17 - 0.75

Probability of recession = 0.08

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