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Engineers concerned about a tower's stability have done extensive studies of its increasing tilt. Measurements of...

Engineers concerned about a tower's stability have done extensive studies of its increasing tilt. Measurements of the lean of the tower over time provide much useful information. The following table gives measurements for the years 1975 to 1987. The variable "lean" represents the difference between where a point on the tower would be if the tower were straight and where it actually is. The data are coded as tenths of a millimeter in excess of 2.9 meters, so that the 1975 lean, which was 2.9646 meters, appears in the table as 646. Only the last two digits of the year were entered into the computer.

Year 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87
Lean 646 648 660 670 677 692 700 701 717 720 729 746 761

(a) Plot the data. Consider whether or not the trend in lean over time appears to be linear. (Do this on paper. Your instructor may ask you to turn in this graph.)

(b) What is the equation of the least-squares line? (Round your answers to three decimal places.)
y = 1 + 2 x

What percent of the variation in lean is explained by this line? (Round your answer to one decimal place.)
3 %

(c) Give a 99% confidence interval for the average rate of change (tenths of a millimeter per year) of the lean. (Round your answers to two decimal places.)
( 4 , 5 )

0 0
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Answer #1

Independent variable, X: Year

Dependent variable, Y: Lean

(a)

Following is the scatter plot of the data:

780 760 740 720 700 680 660 640 74 76 78 80 82 84 86 Year

Scatter plot shows that there is a strong linear positive relationship between the variables.

(b)

Following is the output of regression analysis:

1 SUMMARY OUTPU Regression Statistics 4 Multiple R 5 R Square 6 Adjusted R Square 7 Standard Error 8 Observations 9 10 ANOVA 0.993371289 0.986786518 0.985585292 4.383638183 13 MS Significance F 12 Regression 13 Residual 14 Total 15 16 17 Intercept 18 Year 1 15785.85165 15785.85165 821.4830652 11 211.3791209 19.21628372 12 15997.23077 1.09502E-11 Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95% Upper 95% Lower 99.0% Upper 99.0% 56.9065934126.34795334 2.159810771 0.053721983 9.313186813 0.324936881 28.66152587 -138.7382385 8.303995732 24.9250517 10.32237789 114.89804771.084860859 1.09502E-11 8.598005561 10.02836807
The  equation of the least-squares line is:

y' = -56.907 +9.313*x

The percent of the variation in lean is explained by this line, the r-square, is

0.987 or 98.7%

(c)

A 99% confidence interval for the average rate of change (tenths of a millimeter per year) of the lean is

(8.30, 10.32)

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