Question

)Enrollment in a particular class for the last four semesters has been 120, 126, 110, and 130 semester moving average was used to forecast enrollment (this is sometimes refered to as a naive Thus, the forecast for the second semester it would be 110. What would the MSE be for this situation? reg 2) Enrollment in a particular class for the last four semesters has been 122.128, 100, and 153 listed from oldest to most recent). The best forecast of enrollment next semester, based on a three-semester moving average, would be la7. 6666667 127.67 3) Daily demand for newspapers for the last 10 days has been as follows: 12, 13, 16, 15, 12, 18, 14, 12, 13, 15 (listed from oldest to most recent). Forecast sales for the next day using a three-day weighted moving average where the weights are 3. 1, and 1 (the highest weight is for the most recen number) natlot ISt 0+8rt lo But 45 5 lo 3+1+1
i lass for the as foursemeners bas be 120 12 to most recent) Develop a forecant of enoliment next semester using exponenal sohi 0.2. Assume that an initial forecast for the first semester ws 120 so the foreca 0and 130 froo wth an alpha and the actrual were the same 5) Daily high temperatures in the city of Houston for the last week have been: 93, 94,93,95,92,69 (yesterday) (a) Forecast the high temperature today using a 3-day moving averags 3 (b) Forecast the high temperature today using a 2-day moving average (c) Calculate the mean absolute deviation based on a 2-day moving average, covering all days in which you car have a forecast and an actual temperature.
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Answer #1

1)

y y^ (y-y^)^2
120
126 120 36
110 126 256
130 110 400
692
MSE 230.6667
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