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2.22 PCs and the Productivily Parudox-despite the riotous instability of stock prices lately some prognosticators are advising us not to worry Sure, the stock market has experienced unprecedented growth without significant downslide for 7 straight years. And sure the market has always been cycical in the past. But were in the midst of a revolution, say the pundits, an information revolution. Spurred by personal computers and the internet, he economy has morphed in a fundamental way Information technology has ushered in a paradigm-smashing leap ir productivity that might have made recession passé Not so fast, say those whove studied these issues. Its not even clear that personal computers have affected productivity appreciably, let alone leading to the kind of improvements that would allow us to sail off with our mutual fund investments into a tranquil prosperity. Bureau of Labor Statistics figures show that despite the personal computer revolution and the billions invested in technology, productivity gains measured in output per hour have remained at a feeble annual rate of 1% for the past 30 years, which pales in comparison to the brawny productivity growth of 3% annu- ally experienced during the 1950s and 1960s Common sense indicates that personal computers should increase productivity They let individuals plan and budget far more effectively than a calculator or a table. They make it possible to keep track of people and things far more easily than a roster or a list. They help people communicate far more efficiently than a typewriter or a tel phone. They can tap far more research sources than the largest collection of periodicals t books. Even though some studies have shown that PCs have had a positive impact on productivity, and even though some experts contend that such intangibles as cunvenience and service dont show up in the statistics, the fact remains that the productivity figures havent budged. This anomaly has been called the productivity paradox, and if you look at your own habits and those of peuple around you, yourll see some of the reesons: e Those memos with their fancy fonts and elaborate formatting take longer to create than the simple typewritten memos of the past e Likewise with those presentations adorned with graphics, sound effects, and aniniation E-mail makes it easy to stay in the loop, but wading through scores of nonessen- tial messages each day is definitely a time sink. The web can be an invaluable informational resource, but the temptation is great to jump from one site to another, each in turn less relevant to your work needs not to inention using the web to shop, check out sports scores, and engag chitchat. . e Then there is the equipment maintenance. Whereas in the past only specialists got silicon under their fingernails, today everybody has to deal with software bugs, hardware conflicts, and system cras tes. And when the machine is not coop- erating, it lures you to tinke: endlessly in pursuit of PC perfection A few ycars ago, a survey by SBT Accounting Systems of San Rafael. California, showed that the typical computer user in a business setting wastes 5.1 h each week on PCs. Another study by Forrester Research of Cambridge, Massachusetts, showed that 20% of employees time spent on the Internet at work doesnt involve their jobs * This is not to say that you should trade your Pentium III machine for a typewriter or prevent workers from having access to the Internet. Its not the technology thats the villain. Its how we use it. Because the machines are so dumb-all they really do s add and subtract zeros and ones-we have to be smart in managing them a. What policies can a company establish to remedy some of the causes for the productivity paradox? Should the productivity paradox be a factor when considering the application of information technology to business process design? b.

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