For expected value with perfect information, we use the maximum
payoffs for each state of nature to obtain the expected value here
as:
EVwPI = P(A)*Max(A) + P(B)*Max(B) + P(C)*Max(C)
= 0.3*200 + 0.5*140 + 0.2*180
= 60 + 70 + 36
= 166
Therefore 166 is the required expected value here.
u Question 6 10 pts The following is a payoff table giving profits for various situations....
The following is a payoff table giving profits for various situations. States of Nature Alternatives 100 12 Alternative 1 10 20 lternative 2 12 140 120 Alternative 3 Do Nothing The probabilities for states of nature A, B, and C are 0.3, 0.5, and 0.2, respectively. If a perfect forecast of the future were available, what is the expected value with this perfect information? C) 154 A) 130 D) 36 B) 160 The following is a payoff table giving profits...
1. The following is a payoff table giving profits for various situations. Alternatives A B C Alternative 1 120 140 120 Alternative 2 200 100 50 Alternative 3 100 120 180 Do Nothing 0 0 0 A recent forecast showed a 40% likelihood of A, a 10% likelihood of B, and a 50% likelihood of C. The decision criterion that now should be used to solve this problems is known as a. Equal Likelihood b. Expected Opportunity Loss c. Maximax...
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The following is a payoff table giving profits for various situations: Alternatives A B C Alternative 1 140 148 150 Alternative 2 221 123 125 Alternative 3 123 140 212 Question: What decision would a pessimist make?
The following payoff table provides profits based on various possible decision alternatives and various levels of demand with probabilities of different demands: States of Nature Demand Alternatives Low Medium High Alternative A 80 120 140 Alternative B 70 90 100 Alternative C 30 60 120 Probability 0.4 0.3 0.3 What will be the expected value of perfect information (EVPI) for this situation? 2. Given the following gasoline data: Quarter Year 1 Year 2 1 95 105 2 85 95 3...
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State of Nature Alternatives A B C Alternative 1 100 120 180 Alternative 2 200 100 50 Alternative 3 120 140 120 Do Nothing 0 0 0 The probabilities for states of nature A, B, and C are 0.3, 0.5, and 0.2, respectively. If a perfect forecast of the future were available, what is the expected value of perfect information (EVPI)?
The following is a payoff table giving profits for various situations. State 2 State 1 State 3 Probability 0.35 0.4 0.25 Alternative 1 52 42 75 Alternative 2 58 30 83 Alternative 3 23 55 82 Alternative 4 33 55 44 If a person were to use the expected monetary value criterion, what decision would be made? Alternative 1 Alternative 2 Alternative 3 Alternative 4
. Verizon LTE 5:02 PM 94% Problem 1 The following is a payoff table giving profits for various situations States of Nature Do Nothing What decision would a pessimist make? What decision would an optimist make! What decision would be made based on the realism criterion, where the coefficient of realism is 0.707 d. What decision would be made based on the equally likely criterion? e. What decision would be made based on the minimax regret criterion? Suppose now that...
The following profit payoff table shows profit for a decision analysis problem with two decision alternatives and three states of nature: State of Nature Decision Alternative Si S2 S3 d1 300 175 50 d2 200 175 100 The probabilities for the states of nature are P(51) = 0.5, P(52) = 0.3 and P(53) = 0.2. a. What is the optimal decision strategy if perfect information were available? Si : di S2: di or d2 S3 : d2 b. What is...