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(a) An insurance company sells several types of insurance policies, including auto policies and home- owner policies. Let Aj be those people with an auto policy only, A2 those people with a homeowner policy only, and A3 those people with both an auto and homeowner policy (but no other policies). For a person randomly selected from the companys policy holders, suppose that P(A) 0.3, P(A2)-0.2, and P(A3)-0.2. Further, let B be the event that the person will renew at least one of these policies. Say from past experience that we assign the conditional probabilities PUBA) 0.6, P(BA2) 0.7, and P(BIA3) -0.8. Given that the person selected at random has an auto or homeowner policy, what is the conditional probability that the person will renew at least one of those policies? [2] (b) From an ordinary deck of 52 playing cards, cards are to be drawn successfully at random and without replacement. Find the probability that the third spade appears on the sixth draw. 12)

(b) From an ordinary deck of 5 playing cards, cards are to be drawn successfully at random and without replacement. Find the probability that the third spade appears on the sixth draw. [2] (c) The continuous random variable X is uniformly distributed between O and 4. Suppose that a random sample of 15 observations is selected from this distribution. What is the approximate probability distri bution of Y = 2X-6 (where X denotes the sample mean of the random variable X)?[2] (d) Let X be the number of heads in three tosses of a fair coin. Find the variance of x. [2]

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P(a) n(ApA) s) el)

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