Question

You collect data on 26 metropolitan areas to analyze average monthly debt payments in terms of income and the unemployment rate. The data are shown in the accompanying table. Use Table 4 Income Metropolitan Area (in $1,000s) Unemployment et Washington, D.C. Seattle Baltimore Boston S1,285 1,135 1,133 1,133 1,104 1,098 1,076 1,045 1,024 1,017 1,011 1,011 989 986 970 957 $103.5 6.3% 82.2 89.5 75.9 93.4 75.5 73.1 68.2 75.1 78.3 84.0 78.3 San Francisco San Diego Sacramento Los Angeles Chicago Philadelphia Minneapolis New York Atlanta Dallas Phoenix Portland Cincinnat Houston Columbus St. Louis Miami Detroit Cleveland Tampa 12.4 12.9 68.3 66.6 71.2 69.5 65.1 68.6 68.3 60.2 69.8 64.8 59.4 10.2 920 889 886 867 832 791 763 12.6 SOURCE: eFannieMae.com; bls.com; and Experian.com. for the a-1. Estimate the model Debt cB2Unemp+. (Round your answers to 4 decimal places.) Debt 198.99510.5122 In+0.6186 Une mp a-2. Is unemployment significant at the 5% level? c-1. Estimate Debt Bo +BInc B2Unemp +BaUnemp2 (Negative values should be indicated by a minus sign. Round your answers to 4 decimal places.) ebt-264.62311.4821 Inc73.9527 Unemp + c-2. Determine if Unemp and Unemp? are jointly significant at the 5% level With the t-tests, we conclude that Unemp and Unemp are jointly significant. With the t-tests, we cannot conclude that Unemp and Unemp are jointly significant. With the partial Ftest, we conclude that Unemp and Unemp are jointly significant. With the partial F-test, we cannot conclude that Unemp and Unemp2 are jointly significant.

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Answer #1

a-1)

SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.867561816
R Square 0.752663505
Adjusted R Square 0.731155983
Standard Error 64.60976155
Observations 26
ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 2 292170.7719 146085.386 34.99536244 1.05394E-07
Residual 23 96011.68963 4174.421288
Total 25 388182.4615
Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95% Upper 95%
Intercept 198.9955611 156.3619079 1.272660099 0.215853972 -124.4636877 522.4548099
Income 10.51215911 1.47652528 7.119525312 2.98439E-07 7.457733866 13.56658435
Unemployment 0.618572208 6.867902274 0.090067124 0.929013632 -13.58876602 14.82591043

Dept'= 198.9955611+10.51215911*Income+ 0.6185722*Unemployment

a-2) No, because p-value of t-test statistic is not significant(>0.05)

c-1)

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.879258984
R Square 0.77309636
Adjusted R Square 0.742154955
Standard Error 63.27429948
Observations 26
ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 3 300102.4481 100034.1494 24.98581914 2.82564E-07
Residual 22 88080.01345 4003.636975
Total 25 388182.4615
Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95% Upper 95%
Intercept -264.6230355 363.2412507 -0.728504912 0.473988523 -1017.939279 488.6932081
Income 11.48205201 1.601799738 7.168219437 3.47378E-07 8.160122693 14.80398133
Unemployment 73.95267632 52.5339168 1.407712975 0.173189616 -34.99599838 182.901351
Uemploy^2 -3.239278119 2.301405229 -1.407521839 0.173245547 -8.01210042 1.533544181

Dept'= -264.6230355+11.48205201*Income+73.95267632*Unemployment- 3.23927812*Unemp^2

c-2) Hypothesis test:

H_0:\beta =0, H_a:\beta \neq 0

\alpha =0.05

Test statistic: Unemp= 1.4077 and p-value= 0.17319

Unemp^2= -1.4075 and p-value= 0.1732455

Both are not significant to significant value 0.05 and reject H0. So, we cannot conclude that Unemp and Unemp^2 are jointly significant to dept.

Answer: B

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