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A new antibody test detects serum antibodies against virus X (sensitivity 99%, specificity 90%). When applied...

A new antibody test detects serum antibodies against virus X (sensitivity 99%, specificity 90%). When applied in a group of hospitalized patients diagnosed as having virus X infections, the test is found to have a positive predictive value of 85%. When used to screen a group of healthy blood donors for virus X infections, the test is found to have a positive predictive value of 30%. Which of the following best explains this difference between the positive predictive values?

A.

The prevalence of virus X infection is higher among the hospital patients than among blood donors

B.

Lead time bias occurs among the blood donors

C.

Measurement error was introduced into the procedure.

D.

Cases of virus X infection are more severe in the hospital

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Answer #1

The correct answer is option A. The prevalence of virus X infection is higher among hospital patients than among blood donors. Because in patient's virus concentration is high, allowing the drug to react more and showing more results, but in healthy patients, the virus is absent so the drug is not working at full capacity, showing minimal results.

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