Assume that you own a dividend-paying stock currently worth $150. You plan to sell the stock in 250 days. In order to hedge against a possible price decline, you wish to take a short position in a forward contract that expires in 250 days. The risk-free rate is 5.25% per annum (discretely compounding). Over the next 250 days, the stock will pay dividends according to the following schedule:
Days to Next Dividend |
Dividends per Share ($) |
30 |
1.25 |
120 |
1.25 |
210 |
1.25 |
(a) Calculate the forward price of a contract established today and expiring in 250 days.
(b) It is now 100 days since you entered the forward contract. The stock price is $115. Calculate the value of the forward contract at this point.
c) At expiration, the price of the stock is $130. Calculate the value ot the forward contract at expiration
About this question, if we have a continuos interest what is the solution ?
Future Value (PV) of Cash Flow: | |||||||||
(Cash Flow)*((1+i)^N) | |||||||||
i=Interest Rate=5.25%=0.0525 | |||||||||
N=Number of years in the future | |||||||||
Since forward contracts needs to be settled in future date, | |||||||||
Forward Price will be equal to future value of Cash flows | |||||||||
A | B=250-A | C=B/360 | D | E=D*(1.0525^C) | |||||
Number of days | Number of days to 250 | Years to250days | Cash flow | Future value | |||||
0 | 250 | 0.694444 | $150 | 155.4258589 | |||||
30 | 220 | 0.611111 | ($1.25) | -1.289704419 | |||||
120 | 130 | 0.361111 | ($1.25) | -1.273311501 | |||||
210 | 40 | 0.111111 | ($1.25) | -1.257126947 | |||||
SUM | 151.6057161 | ||||||||
(a) | Forward Price of Contract | $151.61 | |||||||
(b) | Forward Price after 100 days | ||||||||
A | B=150-A | C=B/360 | D | E=D*(1.0525^C) | |||||
Number of days | Number of days to 250 | Years to250days | Cash flow | Future value | |||||
0 | 150 | 0.416667 | $115 | 117.478137 | |||||
20 | 130 | 0.361111 | ($1.25) | -1.273311501 | |||||
110 | 40 | 0.111111 | ($1.25) | -1.257126947 | |||||
SUM | 114.9476985 | ||||||||
Forward Price of Contract | $114.95 | ||||||||
.(c) | Forward Price | $151.61 | |||||||
Price at expiration (Settlement) | $130 | ||||||||
Value of Forward Contract at expiration | $21.61 | (151.61-130) | |||||||
If we have a continuous interest : | |||||||||
Future value =Present value*(e^(0.0525*N) | |||||||||
N=number of Years in to the Future | |||||||||
There willnot be much difference as calculation below shows | |||||||||
A | B=250-A | C=B/360 | D | E=D*(e^(0.0525*C)) | |||||
Number of days | Number of days to 250 | Years to250days | Cash flow | Future value | |||||
0 | 250 | 0.694444 | $150 | 155.56966 | |||||
30 | 220 | 0.611111 | ($1.25) | ($1.290754) | |||||
120 | 130 | 0.361111 | ($1.25) | ($1.273924) | |||||
210 | 40 | 0.111111 | ($1.25) | ($1.257313) | |||||
SUM | 151.747672 | ||||||||
Forward Price of Contract | $151.75 | ||||||||
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