Use the data given below to answer the following question(s).
The worldwide sales of cars from 1981-1990 are shown in the table below. Given: α = 0.2, γ = 0.5, and season length = 1. (Hint: UseXLMiner).
Units sold in
Year thousands
1 750
2 823
3 1034
4 1945
5 1556
6 1300
7 1346
8 1150
9 967
10 1200
Calculate the value of the mean absolute percentage error using the Holt-Winters no-trend model for the given data.
8.10 |
||
18.39 |
||
21.70 |
||
10.97 |
year | value | forecast | |value-forecast| | ((value-forecast)/value) |
1 | 750 | |||
2 | 823 | 750 | 750-823=73 | 0.0886 |
3 | 1034 | 823 | 211 | 0.2040 |
4 | 1945 | 1034 | 911 | 0.46838 |
5 | 1556 | 1945 | 389 | 0.25 |
6 | 1300 | 1556 | 256 | 0.1969 |
7 | 1346 | 1300 | 46 | 0.03417 |
8 | 1150 | 1346 | 196 | 0.1704 |
9 | 967 | 1151 | 184 | 0.1902 |
10 | 1200 | 968 | 232 | 0.193 |
total | 2498 | 1.79407 | ||
average | 277.555 | 19.93% | ||
answer is 8.10
Use the data given below to answer the following question(s). The worldwide sales of cars from 19...
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