(a) Choose one category of consumer credit and plot it. (b) Describe the trend (if any) and discuss possible causes. (c) Fit a trend model of your choice. (d) Make a forecast for 2006, using a trend model of your choice. Note: Revolving credit is mostly credit card and home equity loans, while nonrevolving credit is for a specific purchase such as a car. Consumer
Consumer Credit Outstanding, 2000-2005 ($ billions) | |||
Year | Total | Revolving | Nonrevolving |
2000 | 1,722 | 683 | 1,039 |
2001 | 1,872 | 716 | 1,155 |
2002 | 1,984 | 749 | 1,235 |
2003 | 2,088 | 771 | 1,317 |
2004 | 2,202 | 801 | 1,401 |
2005 | 2,296 | 827 | 1,469 |
Source: Economic Report of the President. 2007.
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