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We are evaluating a project that costs $2,070,000, has a 7-year life, and has no salvage value. Assume that depreciation is s

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Answer #1

Best case

Time line 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Cost of new machine -2070000
=Initial Investment outlay -2070000
100.00%
Unit sales 102740 102740 102740 102740 102740 102740 102740
Profits =no. of units sold * (sales price - variable cost) 2171718.12 2171718.12 2171718.12 2171718.1 2171718.1 2171718.1 2171718.12
Fixed cost -768600 -768600 -768600 -768600 -768600 -768600 -768600
-Depreciation Cost of equipment/no. of years -295714.286 -295714.286 -295714.286 -295714.3 -295714.3 -295714.3 -295714.286 0 =Salvage Value
=Pretax cash flows 1107403.834 1107403.834 1107403.834 1107403.8 1107403.8 1107403.8 1107403.834
-taxes =(Pretax cash flows)*(1-tax) 852700.9524 852700.9524 852700.9524 852700.95 852700.95 852700.95 852700.9524
+Depreciation 295714.2857 295714.2857 295714.2857 295714.29 295714.29 295714.29 295714.2857
=after tax operating cash flow 1148415.238 1148415.238 1148415.238 1148415.2 1148415.2 1148415.2 1148415.238
+Tax shield on salvage book value =Salvage value * tax rate 0
=Terminal year after tax cash flows 0
Total Cash flow for the period -2070000 1148415.238 1148415.238 1148415.238 1148415.2 1148415.2 1148415.2 1148415.238
Discount factor= (1+discount rate)^corresponding period 1 1.12 1.2544 1.404928 1.5735194 1.7623417 1.9738227 2.210681407
Discounted CF= Cashflow/discount factor -2070000 1025370.748 915509.5967 817419.2828 729838.65 651641.65 581822.9 519484.7318
NPV= Sum of discounted CF= 3171087.55

Worst case

Time line 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Cost of new machine -2070000
=Initial Investment outlay -2070000
100.00%
Unit sales 84060 84060 84060 84060 84060 84060 84060
Profits =no. of units sold * (sales price - variable cost) 724765.32 724765.32 724765.32 724765.32 724765.32 724765.32 724765.32
Fixed cost -939400 -939400 -939400 -939400 -939400 -939400 -939400
-Depreciation Cost of equipment/no. of years -295714.286 -295714.286 -295714.286 -295714.3 -295714.3 -295714.3 -295714.286 0 =Salvage Value
=Pretax cash flows -510348.966 -510348.966 -510348.966 -510349 -510349 -510349 -510348.966
-taxes =(Pretax cash flows)*(1-tax) -392968.704 -392968.704 -392968.704 -392968.7 -392968.7 -392968.7 -392968.704
+Depreciation 295714.2857 295714.2857 295714.2857 295714.29 295714.29 295714.29 295714.2857
=after tax operating cash flow -97254.4179 -97254.4179 -97254.4179 -97254.42 -97254.42 -97254.42 -97254.4179
+Tax shield on salvage book value =Salvage value * tax rate 0
=Terminal year after tax cash flows 0
Total Cash flow for the period -2070000 -97254.4179 -97254.4179 -97254.4179 -97254.42 -97254.42 -97254.42 -97254.4179
Discount factor= (1+discount rate)^corresponding period 1 1.12 1.2544 1.404928 1.5735194 1.7623417 1.9738227 2.210681407
Discounted CF= Cashflow/discount factor -2070000 -86834.3017 -77530.6265 -69223.7737 -61806.94 -55184.77 -49272.11 -43992.9596
NPV= Sum of discounted CF= -2513845.49
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