What is the relationship between the price of crude oil and the price you pay at the pump for gasoline? The accompanying table shows the prices of crude oil and the price you pay at the pump for 24 consecutive months. Complete parts (a) through (h) below.
Month Crude_Oil Gasoline
1 75 1.858
2 76 1.477
3 75 1.372
4 76 1.204
5 75 2.344
6 75 2.424
7 78 1.399
8 81 1.296
9 74 1.496
10 79 1.196
11 81 1.204
12 78 2.213
13 79 2.073
14 80 2.184
15 82 2.281
16 83 2.039
17 81 2.647
18 78 2.585
19 74 2.881
20 79 2.766
21 83 2.696
22 84 3.205
23 84 3.006
24 85 3.272
part a) Construct a scatter plot with the crude oil cost (in dollars) on the horizontal axis and the gasoline cost (in dollars per gallon) on the vertical axis. Choose the correct graph below.
part b) Use the least-squares method to develop a simple linear regression equation to predict the gasoline prices using the average crude oil cost as the independent variable. (explain how to find using phstat)
part c) Interpret the meaning of the slope, b1, in this problem.
part D) Plot the residuals versus the time period.
part e) Compute the Durbin-Watson statistic. (on PHSTAT)
part f) At the 0.05 level of significance, is there evidence of positive autocorrelation among the residuals?
part g) Based on the results of (d) through (f), is there reason to question the validity of the model?
part H) What conclusions can you reach concerning the relationship between the price of a barrel of crude oil and the price of a gallon of gasoline?
We will do this problem with the help of Excel.
part a) Construct a scatter plot with the crude oil cost (in dollars) on the horizontal axis and the gasoline cost (in dollars per gallon) on the vertical axis. Choose the correct graph below.
Load the data into Excel.
Go to Data>Megastat.
Select the option Correlation/Regression and go to Scatterplot.
Select crude oil cost as the horizontal axis.
Select gasoline cost as the vertical axis.
Click OK.
The output will be as follows:
part b) Use the least-squares method to develop a simple linear regression equation to predict the gasoline prices using the average crude oil cost as the independent variable. (explain how to find using phstat)
From the scatterplot, we have the simple linear regression equation:
y = -4.464 + 0.084*x
Or
Gasoline Cost = -4.464 + 0.084*Crude Oil Cost
part c) Interpret the meaning of the slope, b1, in this problem.
A simple linear regression equation has a form:
y = b0 + b1*x
We have our simple linear regression equation:
y = -4.464 + 0.084*x
b1 = 0.084
This means that for an increase in every one dollar of Crude oil, Gasoline cost will increase by 0.084 dollars.
part D) Plot the residuals versus the time period.
Load the data into Excel.
Go to Data>Megastat.
Select the option Correlation/Regression and go to Scatterplot.
Select crude oil cost as the independent variable, x.
Select gasoline cost as the dependent variable, y.
Select Plot residuals by observation.
Click OK.
The output will be as follows:
As HOMEWORKLIB answering guide, we have the option to answer only the first four sub-parts of a question when there are more than four parts. If you want me to answer the rest of the parts, please post the question in a new post. Thank You!
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