Question

11. What arbitrage opportunity exists with the following quotes? How much profit could be made by...

11. What arbitrage opportunity exists with the following quotes? How much profit could be made by starting amount of AUD 1,000,000? Bank A: AUD/USD = 0.8520 – 0.8525 Bank B: AUD/USD = 0.8526 – 0.8531

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Answer #1

Let us first understand the quotes given to us:

  • Bank A: AUD/USD = 0.8520 – 0.8525
    • Here, AUD is the price currency and USD is the base currency
    • The quotes above are given from the dealer's perspective, dealer is the bank
    • 0.8520 is the bid or the rate at which bank A will buy 1 unit of USD and give AUD 0.8520 in return
    • 0.8525 is the ask or the rate at which bank A will sell 1 unit of USD and receive AUD 0.8525 in return
  • Bank B: AUD/USD = 0.8526 – 0.8531
    • Here, AUD is the price currency and USD is the base currency
    • The quotes above are given from the dealer's perspective, dealer is the bank
    • 0.8526 is the bid or the rate at which bank A will buy 1 unit of USD and give AUD 0.8526 in return
    • 0.8531 is the ask or the rate at which bank A will sell 1 unit of USD and receive AUD 0.8531 in return

Now let us calculate the arbitrage profit:

  • We have AUD 1,000,000
  • We sell the same to Bank A.
  • This implies that bank A will buy AUD and sell USD
  • Therefore we need to look at the ask rate of bank A which is 0.8525
  • If 0.8525 AUD = 1 USD then 1000000 AUD = 1000000/0.825 USD = USD 1173020.528
  • Next we sell these USD to Bank B and get AUD in return
  • Here, bank B will buy USD and sell AUD so we will look at the bid rate of Bank B which is 0.8526
  • So if USD 1 = AUD 0.8526 then USD 1173020.528 = AUD 1173020.528 x 0.8526 = AUD 1000117.302
  • So the profit will be AUD 1000117.302 - AUD 1,000,000 = AUD 117.302
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