a) MSE = 30.333
Forecast = 15
b) MSE = 8.3265
Forecast = 17.57143
c) Method 2 is better as it has lower MSE
Here is the excel output:
Consider the following time series data. Month Value 1 21 2 3 4 14 2014 5...
omework Consider the following time series data Month 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Value 21 14 18 13 18 21 14 a. Which of the following is a correct time series plot for this data? や" -Select your answer- What type of pattern exists in the data? -select your answer- b. Develop the three-month moving average forecasts for this time series. Compute MSE and a forecast for month 8 (to 2 decimals if necessary). Enter negative values as...
Consider the following time series data: Month 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Value 24 13 19 11 20 22 14 (a) Compute MSE using the most recent value as the forecast for the next period. If required, round your answer to one decimal place. What is the forecast for month 8? If required, round your answer to one decimal place. Do not round intermediate calculation. (b) Compute MSE using the average of all the data available as the...
Problem 15-03 (Algorithmic) Consider the following time series data. Week 1 2 3 4 5 6 Value 18 14 16 11 17 13 Using the naïve method (most recent value) as the forecast for the next week, compute the following measures of forecast accuracy: Mean absolute error (MAE) Mean squared error (MSE) Mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) Round your answers to two decimal places. MAE = MSE = MAPE = Using the average of all the historical data as a...
Consider the following time series data: Month Value 1 1 25 2 12 3 20 4 12 5 18 6 23 7 15 (a) Compute MSE using the most recent value as the forecast for the next period. If required, round your answer to one decimal place. 70.3 What is the forecast for month 8? If required, round your answer to one decimal place. Do not round intermediate calculation. 1 (b) Compute MSE using the average of all the data...
Consider the following time series data: Month 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Value 23 13 19 13 19 24 15 (a) Compute MSE using the most recent value as the forecast for the next period. If required, round your answer to one decimal place. What is the forecast for month 8? If required, round your answer to one decimal place. Do not round intermediate calculation. (b) Compute MSE using the average of all the data available as the...
please help
Month 3 5 6 7 12 31 20 27 19 26 30 22 Value (a) Compute MSE using the most recent value as the forecast for the next period. MSE - What is the forecast for month 8? (b) Compute MSE using the average of all the data available as the forecast for the next period. (Round your answer to two decimal places.) MSE - What is the forecast for month ? (c) Which method appears to provide...
2. Consider the following time series data: 2Month Value 20 15 23 6 4 13 6 18 25 10 8 10 9 24 12 10 21 13 19 14 15 la. Use a α # 0.25 to compute the exponential smoothing values for the time series. Compute MSE and a forecast for Month 12. b. Compare the two-month moving average forecast with the exponential smoothing forecast using a 0.25. Which appears to 17 provide the better forecast based on MSE?...
Please help
Consider the following time series data. 3 4 5 6 Week 12 18 14 Value 17 1018 15 Using the average of all the historical data as a forecast for the next period, compute the following measures of forecast accuracy. (Round your answers to two decimal places.) (a) mean absolute error MAE - (b) mean squared error MSE - (c) mean absolute percentage error MAPE 96 (d) What is the forecast for week 7?
Consider the following time series data. Week 1 2 3 4 5 6 Value 19 14 17 12 17 14 Develop a three-week moving average for this time series. Compute MSE and a forecast for week 7. Round your answers to two decimal places. Week Time Series Value Forecast 1 19 2 14 3 17 4 12 5 17 6 14 MSE: The forecast for week 7: Use = 0.2 to compute the exponential smoothing values for the time series....
Problem 08-06 Algo (Moving Averages and Exponential
Smoothing)
Consider the following time series data:
Month
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Value
23
13
21
13
19
21
17
(a) Choose the correct time series plot Month (iv) Month Select your answer What type of pattern exists in the data? Select your answer- (b) Develop a three-month moving average for this time series. Compute MSE and a forecast for month 8. If required, round your answers to two decimal...