A manufacturer of car batteries claims that the life of his batteries has a 15% chance to last more than 3 years. What is the probability that you find a battery that last more than 3 years after verifying a total of 8 batteries?
Ans:
Use Geometric distribution with p=0.15
Let x be the number of trials after we find first success.
So,
P(x=k)=(1-0.15)k-1*0.15
P(x=8)=(1-0.15)7*0.15
P(x=8)=0.0481
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