Question

Given the information below, if you had a good first interview, what is the probability you...

Given the information below, if you had a good first interview, what is the probability you will receive a second interview?

  • 50% of all people who received a first interview received a second interview
  • 95% of people that received a second interview had a good first interview
  • 75% of people that did not receive a second interview had a good first interview
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Answer #1

Required probability = P(individual would receive a second interview | individual had a good first interview)

= P(individual would receive a second interview and individual had a good first interview) / P(individual had a good first interview)

= P(individual would receive a second interview and individual had a good first interview) / [P(individual had a good first interview and did not receive second interview) + P(individual had a good first interview and received second interview)]

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