An activity on a PERT network has these time estimates: optimistic = 2, most likely = 3, and pessimistic = 10. What is its expected activity time and
variance?
A.
5; 1.78
B.
4; 1.78
C.
5; 10.67
D.
4; 10.67
E.
None of the above.
Answer: b.4; 1.78
Expected time =(2+4(3)+10)/6
= 2+12+10/6 = 24/6 = 4
Expected time = 4
Standard deviation
=(10-2)/6
=8/6
= 1.3333
Variance =((10-2)/6)2
= 1.3333*1.3333
Variance =1.78
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