Question

The following data represent the demand for antifreeze in thousands of gallons for an 8-week period during the Fall 2017 in the New York metropolitan area.           Week            Demand          ...

The following data represent the demand for antifreeze in thousands of gallons for an 8-week period during the Fall 2017 in the New York metropolitan area.

          Week            Demand

           1               10

           2               15

           3               17

           4               12

           5               15

           6               18

           7               20

           8               25

     

a) Calculate a 3-week moving average for the demand data. What will be the forecast for Week 9?

b) Calculate an exponential smoothed average for the demand data using  a= 0.30 and seed S0= 10. What will be the

forecast for Week 9?

c) Calculate the Mean Absolute Deviation (Mean Absolute Error) for each for each of the forecasts developed in Parts a and b. Based on this information, which is the  superior forecast for antifreeze?

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Answer #1

ERRORCA 12 5 14.66 12ナIS ) 1 S A DDate At-fR , 5 4. 82

Exponential smoothing method is a good method of forecast

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