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In estimating a regression based on monthly observations from January 1987 to December 2002 inclusive, you find that the...

In estimating a regression based on monthly observations from January 1987 to December 2002 inclusive, you find that the coefficient on the independent variable is positive and significant at the 0.05 level. You are concerned, however, that the t−statistic on the independent variable may be inflated because of serial correlation between the error terms. Therefore, you examine the Durbin-Watson statistic, which is 1.8953 for this regression.

(3.1) Based on the value of the Durbin-Watson statistic, what can you say about the serial correlation between the regression residuals? Are they positively correlated, negatively correlated, or not correlated at all? (3)

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Answer #1

Since the value of the Durbin-watson test statistic i.e. 1.8953 is less than 2 it means that the regression residuals are positively correlated.

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