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1/11 Question 2 of 10, Step 1 of 1 Correct Suppose the following data were collected from a sample of 5 car manufacturers rel
1/11 Correct Question 2 of 10, Step 1 of 1 150405 8 0 1 0 242762 13 0 1 0 0 260353 16 1 0 0 273488 21 0 1 0 0 65480 0 0 1 0 1
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Answer #1

We will be using the following data:

Sales Dealerships Q1 Q2 Q3
85470 4 1 0 0
101384 8 1 0 0
121303 13 1 0 0
133601 16 1 0 0
194513 21 1 0 0
82157 4 0 1 0
150405 8 0 1 0
242762 13 0 1 0
260353 16 0 1 0
273488 21 0 1 0
65480 4 0 0 1
101458 8 0 0 1
150132 13 0 0 1
165487 16 0 0 1
200406 21 0 0 1
98535 4 0 0 0
200358 8 0 0 0
250155 13 0 0 0
306587 16 0 0 0
389564 21 0 0 0

In our regression equation, there are three dummy variables (and not four because if all the first three dummy variables have a value of zero, it indicates Quarter 4, hence it is reduntant to include an extra dummy variable in our regression equation)

We can use the above data to make a regression model in Excel or SPSS or in any other statistical software.

In Excel Go to Data -> Data Analysis -> Regression -> Select the data -> OK

In SPSS Go to analyze -> Regression -> Linear

The results are:

SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.94504
R Square 0.893101
Adjusted R Square 0.864595
Standard Error 31944.83
Observations 20
ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 4 1.28E+11 3.2E+10 31.32985 4.02E-07
Residual 15 1.53E+10 1.02E+09
Total 19 1.43E+11
Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95% Upper 95% Lower 95.0% Upper 95.0%
Intercept 118650.7 20626.81 5.752257 3.82E-05 74685.71 162615.7 74685.71 162615.7
Dealerships 10515.25 1199.882 8.763565 2.75E-07 7957.759 13072.74 7957.759 13072.74
Q1 -121786 20203.68 -6.02789 2.31E-05 -164849 -78722.5 -164849 -78722.5
Q2 -47206.8 20203.68 -2.33654 0.033749 -90269.9 -4143.67 -90269.9 -4143.67
Q3 -112447 20203.68 -5.56568 5.4E-05 -155510 -69384.1 -155510 -69384.1

We can see that the Q1 coefficient has a value of -121786 with a significant p-value. Hence, the variable Quarter 1 is significant. Hence, as the value is negative, it means that on average, car sales are higher in the 4th quarter than in the 1st quarter at the 0.05 level of significance.

Regression equation is:

Sales = 118650.7 + 10515.25*Dealerships -121786*Quarter 1 - 47206.8*Quarter 2 - 112447*Quarter 3

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