Polygraph tests have an accuracy rate of about 90%. This means that it will detect 90%...
Polygraph tests have an accuracy rate of about 90%. This means that it will detect 90% of people who lie and 90% of people who are telling the truth. A company of 5000 employees has everyone submit to a polygraph test. It turns out there are 50 employees who will lie during their polygraph. (Hint: Tests Positive means they are lying!) Complete a table as in your course materials and use it to answer the given question. If someone does not pass their polygraph test, what is the probability they lied? (Round your probability to the nearest tenth of a percent!) Express your answer rounded correctly to the nearest tenth of a percent.
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Polygraph tests have an accuracy rate of about 90%. This means
that it will detect 90%...
Polygraph lie-detector machines are commonly used in criminal investigations. The device measures nervous excitement, operating on...
Polygraph lie-detector machines are commonly used in criminal investigations. The device measures nervous excitement, operating on the idea that if a person is telling the truth they will remain calm. The American Polygraph Association claims that polygraphs accurately identify liars 90% of the time. In other words, if a person lied the test results will be positive 90% of the time. Although the polygraph test is good at identifying liars, there is a 50% chance that the polygraph test will...
A polygraph (lie detector) is an instrument used to determine if an individual is telling the...
A polygraph (lie detector) is an instrument used to determine if an individual is telling the truth. These tests are considered to be 89% reliable. In other words, if an individual lies, there is a 0.89 probability that the test will detect a lie. Let there also be a 0.100 probability that the test erroneously detects a lie even when the individual is actually telling the truth. Consider the null hypothesis, "the individual is telling the truth," to answer the...
A polygraph (lie detector) is an instrument used to determine if the individual is telling the...
A polygraph (lie detector) is an instrument used to determine if the individual is telling the truth. These tests are considered to be 93% reliable. In other words, if an individual lies, there is a 0.930 probability that the test will detect a lie. Let there also be a 0.003 probability that the test erroneously detects a lie even when the individual is actually telling the truth. Consider the null hypothesis, "the individual is telling the truth," to answer the...
A polygraph (lie detector) is an instrument used to determine if an individual is telling the...
A polygraph (lie detector) is an instrument used to determine if an individual is telling the truth. These tests are considered to be 88% reliable. In other words, if an individual lies, there is a 0.88 probability that the test will detect a lie. Let there also be a 0.035 probability that the test erroneously detects a lie even when the individual is actually telling the truth. Consider the null hypothesis, "the individual is telling the truth," to answer the...
A polygraph (lie detector) is an instrument used to determine if an individual is telling the...
A polygraph (lie detector) is an instrument used to determine if an individual is telling the truth. These tests are considered to be 96% reliable. In other words, if an individual lies, there is a 0.96 probability that the test will detect a lie. Let there also be a 0.008 probability that the test erroneously detects a lie even when the individual is actually telling the truth. Consider the null hypothesis, "the individual is telling the truth," to answer the...
A polygraph (lie detector) is an instrument used to determine if an individual is telling the...
A polygraph (lie detector) is an instrument used to determine if an individual is telling the truth. These tests are considered to be 92% reliable. In other words, if an individual lies, there is a 0.92 probability that the test will detect a lie. Let there also be a 0.080 probability that the test erroneously detects a lie even when the individual is actually telling the truth. Consider the null hypothesis, "the individual is telling the truth," to answer the...
Check my work A polygraph (lle detector) is an instrument used to determine if an individual...
Check my work A polygraph (lle detector) is an instrument used to determine if an individual is telling the truth. These tests are considered to be 93% reliable. In other words, if an individual lies, there is a 0.93 probability that the test will detect a lie. Let there also be a 0.003 probability that the test erroneously detects a lie even when the individual is actually telling the truth. Consider the null hypothesis, "the individual is telling the truth,"...
Dalgliesh the detective fancies himself a shrewd judge of human nature. In careful tests, it has...
Dalgliesh the detective fancies himself a shrewd judge of human nature. In careful tests, it has been discovered that he is right 80 percent of the time about whether a suspect is lying or telling the truth. Dalgliesh says that Jones is lying. The polygraph expert, who is right 100 percent of the time, says that 40 percent of the subjects interviewed by Dagliesh are telling the truth. What is the probability that Jones is lying? Instructions: Enter your response...
A certain virus infects one in every 200 people. A test used to detect the virus in a person is positive 90% of the tim...
A certain virus infects one in every 200 people. A test used to detect the virus in a person is positive 90% of the time if the person has the virus and 8% of the time if the person does not have the virus. (This 8% result is called a false positive.) Let A be the event "the person is infected" and B be the event "the person tests positive". a) Find the probability that a person has the virus...
A certain virus infects one in every 300 people. A test used to detect the virus...
A certain virus infects one in every 300 people. A test used to detect the virus in a person is positive 80% of the time if the person has the virus and 5% of the time if the person does not have the virus. (This 5% result is called a false positive.) Let A be the event "the person is infected" and B be the event "the person tests positive". a) Find the probability that a person has the virus...
Polygraph lie-detector machines are commonly used in criminal investigations. The device measures nervous excitement, operating on the idea that if a person is telling the truth they will remain calm. The American Polygraph Association claims that polygraphs accurately identify liars 90% of the time. In other words, if a person lied the test results will be positive 90% of the time. Although the polygraph test is good at identifying liars, there is a 50% chance that the polygraph test will...
A polygraph (lie detector) is an instrument used to determine if an individual is telling the truth. These tests are considered to be 89% reliable. In other words, if an individual lies, there is a 0.89 probability that the test will detect a lie. Let there also be a 0.100 probability that the test erroneously detects a lie even when the individual is actually telling the truth. Consider the null hypothesis, "the individual is telling the truth," to answer the...
A polygraph (lie detector) is an instrument used to determine if an individual is telling the truth. These tests are considered to be 92% reliable. In other words, if an individual lies, there is a 0.92 probability that the test will detect a lie. Let there also be a 0.080 probability that the test erroneously detects a lie even when the individual is actually telling the truth. Consider the null hypothesis, "the individual is telling the truth," to answer the...
Check my work A polygraph (lle detector) is an instrument used to determine if an individual is telling the truth. These tests are considered to be 93% reliable. In other words, if an individual lies, there is a 0.93 probability that the test will detect a lie. Let there also be a 0.003 probability that the test erroneously detects a lie even when the individual is actually telling the truth. Consider the null hypothesis, "the individual is telling the truth,"...
Dalgliesh the detective fancies himself a shrewd judge of human nature. In careful tests, it has been discovered that he is right 80 percent of the time about whether a suspect is lying or telling the truth. Dalgliesh says that Jones is lying. The polygraph expert, who is right 100 percent of the time, says that 40 percent of the subjects interviewed by Dagliesh are telling the truth. What is the probability that Jones is lying? Instructions: Enter your response...
A certain virus infects one in every 200 people. A test used to detect the virus in a person is positive 90% of the time if the person has the virus and 8% of the time if the person does not have the virus. (This 8% result is called a false positive.) Let A be the event "the person is infected" and B be the event "the person tests positive". a) Find the probability that a person has the virus...
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