Question

What is the probability of completing the National Holiday Toy project in 95 time units? Carry...

What is the probability of completing the National Holiday Toy project in 95 time units? Carry at least 3 decimal places in all calculations, enter the final value in 3 decimal places.

Act. ID

Description

Predecessor

Optm. (a)

Most likely (m)

Pess. (b)

Act time te

Variance

[(b 2 a)/6]2

Critical

1

Design package

None

6

12

24

13 9 x

2

Design product

1

15

19

28

19.83 4.69 x

3

Build package

1

4

7

10

7 1 x

4

Secure patent

2

21

30

39

30 9 x

5

Build product

2

17

29

47

30 25 x

6

Paint

3, 4, 5

4

7

12

7.33 1.78 x

7

Test market

6

13

16

19

16 1 x

1. The probability of completing the National Holiday Toy project in 95 time units?

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Answer #1

Answer = 0.853

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