Question

Question 2 (50%): The project information is presented in Table 1. It is known that the critical path of the given project is A - D + G - J. 1) Please fill out the Table 2. (1% * 10-10%) 2) The duration of the project is days (10%) Note: Calculation processes for 1) and 2) are not required. 3) What is the probability of finishing the project in 18 days? (15%) 4) What is the probability of finishing the project in 22 days? (15%) Note: Calculation processes for 3) and 4) ARE REQUIRED. Table 1 Activity Name Predecessors Optimistic Duration Most Likely D uration Pessimistic Duration В A 2 Uow-OI- Nowow E, C EC G H, F,I 1 3 Table 2: Activity te

Answer 1

solh since go since given that critical parth AD G te= to +4 tm + tp t p- pesimistic the most likely V. (tp-to) 2. to optimistic. to > 2. ① Table Activity te v 6 5 Gaude 04111 0.444 0.444 0.444 D-10 ① Project duration : 2+5 +6 +5+2 de = 20 days. & {stand and deviation of project) 111 6. 0.111 4.444X3 + 1.25 1.2. 51 for probability T.TE = 2 &&s= 18 days & in 10 days 18-20 -16 for 2 -106, Pr 5.5% et in 21 days 99 +16 for 2 = 106 P = 94.5%