3. If a data exhibits only seasonal effects, a quick way to forecast is outlined below...
The table below outlines sales data for machine equipment across four yearly quarters. Following the Seasonal Forecasting method, calculate the seasonal index for quarter 3 in year 2. Quarter Year 1 Year 2 Quarter 1 100 120 Quarter 2 180 140 Quarter 3 190 195 Quarter 4 150 160 Total Total 620 615
Consider the following time series data.
Quarter
Year 1
Year 2
Year 3
1
4
6
7
2
2
4
6
3
3
5
7
4
5
7
8
Which of the following is the correct time series plot?
a.
b.
c.
Show the four-quarter and centered moving average values for
this time series (to 3 decimals if necessary).
Year
Quarter
Time Series Value
Four-Quarter Moving Average
Centered Moving Average
1
1
4
2
2
3
3
4
5
2...
An analyst wants to use the ratio-to-moving-average method to forecast a company's sales for the next few quarters. Beginning in Quarter 1 of 2019, the analyst collects the following sales data (in millions of dollars). Estimate the seasonal index associated with Quarter 2. Round you answer to at least 3 decimal places. Time Period Quarters Sales Moving Average 1 1 98.5 2 2 217.2 139.275 3 3 127.6 142.125 4 4 113.8 159.600 5 1 109.9 163.450 6 2 287.1...
Six years of quarterly data of a seasonally adjusted series are used to estimate a linear trend model as T1 = 194.40 + 1.23t. In addition, quarterly seasonal indices are calculated as S, = 0.94, S2 = 0.88, S3 = 1.20, and S4 = 1.02. a-1. Interpret the first quarterly index. In other words, what is the value of the series in the first quarter as compared to the average? 94% below O 6% above 94% above 6% below a-2....
Six years of quarterly data of a seasonally adjusted series are used to estimate a linear trend model as TˆT^ t = 183.40 + 1.07t. In addition, quarterly seasonal indices are calculated as SˆS^ 1 = 0.80, SˆS^ 2 = 0.98, SˆS^ 3 = 1.02, and SˆS^ 4 = 1.04. a-1. Interpret the first quarterly index. In other words, what is the value of the series in the first quarter as compared to the average? 20% below 20% above 80%...
Aggressive versus conservative seasonal funding strategy Dynabase Tool has forecast its total funding requirements for the coming year as shown in the following table: a. Divide the firm's monthly funding requirement into (1) a permanent component and (2) a seasonal component, and find the monthly average for each of these components b. Describe the amount of long-term and short-term financing used to meet the total funds requirement under (1) an aggressive funding strategy and (2) a conservative funding strategy. Assume...
+= 164.90 + 1.091 Six years of quarterly data of a seasonally adjusted series are used to estimate a linear trend model as In addition, quarterly seasonal indices are calculated as $ 1 = 0.88, § 2=0.94, § 3 = 1.16, and § 4 = 112. a-1. Interpret the first quarterly index. In other words, what is the value of the series in the first quarter as compared to the average? 88% below 12% below O 12% above O 88%...
Based on the following data, develop a forecast for the expected demand for Year 2. Assume the demand for year two will be 86,000 units. Please round to two decimal points in your answers. This is a seasonal demand forecast. Year 1 Past Sales (Units) Quarter 1 20,000 Quarter 2 26,000 Quarter 3 18,400 Quarter 4 19,800 Answer (You may illustrate this in tables if you wish, but show your calculation within the table)
6. eBook The quarterly sales data (number of copies sold) for a college textbook over the past three years follow Quarter Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 1,765 1,063 2,974 2,554 1,591 1,827 935 2,646 2,423 980 2,812 2,358 4 There appears to be a seasonal pattern in the data and perhaps amoderate upward linear trend b. Use the following dummy variables to develop an estimated regression equation to account for any seasonal effects in the data: Qtrl 1 if...
Please help. I'm stuck.
The quarterly sales data (number of copies sold) for a college textbook over the past three years follow. Quarter Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 1 1,690 1,800 1,850 N 940 900 1,100 3 2,625 2,900 2,930 4 2,500 2,360 2,615 (a) Construct a time series plot. 3500 3000+ 2500+ 2000+ N 1 500+ 1000+ 500+ 0 4 1 4 1 + 2 3 Year 1 2 3 Year 2 2 3 Year 3 O Year/Quarter...